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On Time-based Exploration of LMS Data and Prediction of Student Performance

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Conference

2022 ASEE Annual Conference & Exposition

Location

Minneapolis, MN

Publication Date

August 23, 2022

Start Date

June 26, 2022

End Date

June 29, 2022

Conference Session

CIT Division Technical Session #6

Page Count

16

DOI

10.18260/1-2--40852

Permanent URL

https://strategy.asee.org/40852

Download Count

238

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Paper Authors

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Abdulmalek Al-Gahmi Weber State University

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Dr. Abdulmalek Al-Gahmi is an assistant professor at the School of Computing Department of Weber State University. His teaching experience involves courses on object-oriented programming, full-stack web development, computer graphics, algorithms and data structures, and machine learning. He holds a Ph.D. in Computer Science from New Mexico State University, M.S. in Computer Science, M.A. in Extension Education, and B.S. in Electrical Engineering.

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Kyle Feuz

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Kyle Feuz is an Associate Professor at Weber State University in the School of Computing. He earned his Ph.D from Washington State University under the guidance of Dr. Diane Cook in 2014. He also received his B.S and M.S in Computer Science from Utah State University in 2011.

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Yong Zhang Weber State University

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Dr. Yong Zhang is an associate professor in Computer Science at Weber State University. He received the B.E. degree and M.E. degree in Electrical Engineering from Harbin Institute of Technology, China, and the Ph.D degree in Electrical Engineering from West Virginia University, Morgantown, USA. His research interests include digital image and video processing, bioinformatics, and computer vision.

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Abstract

Learning Management Systems (LMS) gather extensive amounts of data about students' progression through courses. Such data is then made available via APIs for data exploration and utilization. A body of research has investigated using such data to predict student performance based on data collected earlier in a course. The driving question in such efforts has been whether student performance can be accurately predicted early enough to intervene and provide needed help. Two main issues have been pointed out in these attempts: the portability and robustness of these predictions.

In this work-in-progress study, we introduce a new approach to exploring LMS data. Such an approach looks at the data as a set of time series each representing the progress of a student within a course. This study explores how students advance through courses over time and the variability of student performance between any two time points. It utilizes the LMS data (Canvas in this case) obtained from multiple Computer Science courses taught by different instructors in different formats (online and face-to-face) over three years in a public four-year university. Ways for summarizing and visualizing such data are discussed, and useful predictor features are extracted and used to build and evaluate predictive models of student performance at any time point. The study explores questions such as: How does the progress of passed and failed students differ in these courses? How early can student performance be accurately predicted? Can data collected from one course be used to predict the performance of students in another course by the same or a different instructor? Are student journeys through courses unique, or are there patterns that transcend students and courses?

Al-Gahmi, A., & Feuz, K., & Zhang, Y. (2022, August), On Time-based Exploration of LMS Data and Prediction of Student Performance Paper presented at 2022 ASEE Annual Conference & Exposition, Minneapolis, MN. 10.18260/1-2--40852

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